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Seasonal variations in the onset of childhood leukaemia and lymphoma.

机译:儿童白血病和淋巴瘤发病的季节性变化。

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摘要

Infection has long been suspected as a possible factor in the aetiology of leukaemia and lymphoma. If seasonal variation in the onset of disease could be shown in any of the diagnostic subgroups of leukaemia or lymphoma, this would provide supportive evidence of an aetiology linked to exposure to infection. All cases in the Manchester Children's Tumour Registry (aged 0-14 years at diagnosis) with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL), acute non-lymphocytic leukaemia (ANLL), Hodgkin's disease (HD) or non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) between 1 January 1954 and 31 December 1996 were included in an analysis of seasonal variation in the month of first symptom and the month of diagnosis. Cases of common acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (c-ALL) diagnosed from 1979 onwards were also analysed separately. The groups considered for analysis were: all cases of ALL (n = 1070), ALL diagnosed between 18 and 95 months of age (n = 730), ALL diagnosed over 95 months of age (n = 266), c-ALL (n = 309), ANLL (n = 244), all infant acute leukaemias (ALL and ANLL under 18 months; n = 107), HD (n = 166) and NHL (n = 189). Using the Edwards method, both c-ALL and HD demonstrated significant seasonal variation (P = 0.037 and 0.001 respectively) in date of first symptom, with peaks occurring in November and December respectively. Using this method, no indication of seasonal variation was found in the other diagnostic groups for date of first symptom or in any of the diagnostic groups for date of diagnosis. For comparison with a previous study, a further analysis based on date of diagnosis for all ALL cases, using summer-winter ratios, showed a significant summer excess. These results provide supportive evidence for an infectious aetiology for c-ALL and HD, and possibly for all ALL, which warrants further investigation.
机译:长期以来,人们一直怀疑感染是白血病和淋巴瘤病因的可能因素。如果在白血病或淋巴瘤的任何诊断亚组中均可显示出疾病发作的季节性变化,则这将提供与感染相关的病因的支持性证据。 1月1日至1月1日之间,曼彻斯特儿童肿瘤登记处的所有病例(诊断时0-14岁)均患有急性淋巴细胞白血病(ALL),急性非淋巴细胞白血病(ANLL),霍奇金病(HD)或非霍奇金淋巴瘤(NHL) 1954年和1996年12月31日被纳入第一个症状月份和诊断月份的季节性变化分析。还单独分析了自1979年以来诊断出的常见急性淋巴细胞白血病(c-ALL)病例。考虑进行分析的组为:所有病例均为ALL(n = 1070),ALL诊断为18至95个月大(n = 730),ALL诊断为95个月以上(n = 266),c-ALL(n = 309),ANLL(n = 244),所有婴儿急性白血病(ALL和ANLL在18个月以下; n = 107),HD(n = 166)和NHL(n = 189)。使用爱德华兹方法,c-ALL和HD在首次出现症状时均表现出明显的季节性变化(分别为P = 0.037和0.001),峰值分别出现在11月和12月。使用这种方法,在其他诊断组中没有发现季节性症状的迹象,也没有在任何诊断组中诊断出日期。为了与以前的研究进行比较,基于所有日期的诊断日期进行的进一步分析,使用夏冬比率,表明夏季明显过剩。这些结果为c-ALL和HD以及所有ALL的传染病病因提供了支持性证据,值得进一步研究。

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